Nebraska’s leading indicator drops in September

Nebraska’s leading indicator drops in September

Nebraska's leading economic indicator showed a decrease in building permits for single-family homes in April.
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Building permits for single-family homes declined during September.

After rising throughout 2018, Nebraska’s leading economic indicator fell during September, according to the most recent report from the University of Nebraska–Lincoln.

The leading indicator, a composite of economic factors that predict economic growth six months into the future, fell 0.35 percent.

“The decline in the leading indicator suggests that Nebraska’s economic growth, which is currently quite strong, will slow in the coming months,” said economist Eric Thompson, director of the Bureau of Business Research at the university.

“Building permits for single-family homes and airline passenger counts both declined during September,” Thompson said. “Initial claims for unemployment insurance also rose in Nebraska during the month.”

Manufacturing hours worked was a bright spot for the economy, rising for the third consecutive month during September.

The leading economic indicator report is produced monthly by faculty and students in the Bureau of Business Research in Nebraska’s College of Business.

Read the full report and a technical report describing the indicators.

Nebraska Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator – October 2018
Video: Eric Thompson discusses the September leading economic indicator report