Nebraska’s economic outlook clouds during August

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Nebraska’s economic outlook clouds during August

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Nebraska’s leading economic indicator fell during August, according to the most recent report from the University of Nebraska–Lincoln.

The leading indicator, a composite of economic factors that predict economic growth six months into the future, fell by 1.89%. The August drop reversed a strong 2.51% increase during July.

“Taken together, results from the last two months suggest modest economic growth in Nebraska at the end of 2019 and the beginning of 2020,” said economist Eric Thompson, director of the Bureau of Business Research at the university.

Five of six components of the leading indicator worsened during August, Thompson said. Manufacturing hours worked, building permits for single-family homes and airline passenger counts all declined during the month, while initial claims for unemployment insurance rose. The value of the U.S. dollar also rose sharply during August, which creates challenges for Nebraska businesses that export. Business expectations were the only positive note. Respondents to the August Survey of Nebraska Business reported plans to increase sales and employment over the next six months.

The leading economic indicator report is produced monthly by faculty and students in the Bureau of Business Research in Nebraska’s College of Business.

Read the full report and a technical report describing the indicators.

Nebraska Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator – September 2019
Video: Video: Eric Thompson discusses the August leading economic indicator report