Indicator shows more signs of slow growth in early 2017

· 2 min read

Indicator shows more signs of slow growth in early 2017

Eric Thompson (second from right), associate professor of economics, works with student research assistants in the College of Business Administration’s Bureau of Business Research. The bureau is designed to assist with Nebraska’s economic development efforts.
Craig Chandler | University Communication
Eric Thompson (second from right), associate professor of economics, works with student research assistants in the College of Business Administration’s Bureau of Business Research. The bureau is designed to assist with Nebraska’s economic development efforts.

Nebraska will experience slow economic growth in early 2017, according to the latest leading economic indicator report from the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.

The indicator, a composite of economic factors that predict economic growth six months into the future, fell by 0.32 percent in August.

“The drop in this month’s leading indicator negates a similar increase during July,” said economist Eric Thompson, director of the Bureau of Business Research at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. “Taken together, the leading indicator values for the last two months suggest slow economic growth in Nebraska at the beginning of 2017.”

Manufacturing activity and jobless claims were areas of weakness in August. Initial claims for unemployment insurance increased and manufacturing hours dropped during the month.

However, there also were some positive findings in the August data. Business expectations were positive, with businesses anticipating increased sales and employment over the next six months. There also was a drop in the value of the U.S. dollar, which reduces competitive pressure on Nebraska’s export-oriented businesses.

The leading economic indicator report is produced monthly by faculty and students in the economics department and the Bureau of Business Research in the university’s College of Business Administration.

The full report and a technical report describing the indicators are available at the Bureau of Business Research website here.

UNL Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator Nebraska – September 2016
Video: Eric Thompson discusses the August leading economic indicator report

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