Indicator: Nebraska economic outlook remains strong

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Indicator: Nebraska economic outlook remains strong

Eric Thompson (second from right), associate professor of economics, works with student research assistants in the College of Business Administration’s Bureau of Business Research. The bureau is designed to assist with Nebraska’s economic development efforts.
Craig Chandler | University Communication
Eric Thompson (second from right), associate professor of economics, works with student research assistants in the College of Business Administration’s Bureau of Business Research. The bureau is designed to assist with Nebraska’s economic development efforts.

The Nebraska economy should grow rapidly during the second half of 2016, according to the latest leading economic indicator report from the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.

The indicator, a composite of economic factors that predict growth six months into the future, increased by 1.21 percent in April.

“Improving trade competitiveness, when combined with a strengthening labor market and business environment, provide a basis for strong, broad-based economic growth in Nebraska,” said economist Eric Thompson, director of the Bureau of Business Research at UNL.

April’s increase follows a sharp increase in March, Thompson said. The two months combined signal strong economic growth in the state during the second half of the year.

Three components of the leading indicator improved during April. Respondents to the April Survey of Nebraska Business predicted strong growth in both sales and employment at their businesses over the next six months. There was also a decline in initial claims for unemployment insurance, a positive sign for the labor market, as well as another decline in the value of the U.S. dollar. The declining dollar will benefit Nebraska’s export-oriented businesses in manufacturing and agriculture.

On the negative side, there was a modest decline in building permits for single-family homes and in manufacturing hours in Nebraska during April.

The leading economic indicator report is produced monthly by faculty and students in the economics department and the Bureau of Business Research in UNL’s College of Business Administration.

The full report and a technical report describing the indicators are available here.

UNL Bureau of Business Research Leading Economic Indicator Nebraska – May 2016
Video: Eric Thompson discusses April leading economic indicator report

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